Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.281185 1.521304 1.773523 2.056471 2.363394 2.684749 3.045163
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.921056 1.247419 1.613665 2.047677 2.541168 3.078858 3.703280
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.697214 1.052951 1.473525 1.992179 2.601117 3.281831 4.089462
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.523056 0.888948 1.345512 1.930623 2.638030 3.446824 4.424021
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.404635 0.773238 1.257298 1.899130 2.694552 3.620786 4.756096
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.333840 0.710001 1.226506 1.930796 2.820836 3.871910 5.174220
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.269430 0.644501 1.184204 1.940881 2.915207 4.081034 5.539918
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.204874 0.566297 1.115585 1.909614 2.952530 4.217491 5.816447
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.187661 0.563694 1.152629 2.017704 3.165460 4.567045 6.347502
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.173071 0.562989 1.190940 2.126673 3.379266 4.917921 6.880881
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.162875 0.568532 1.237675 2.246819 3.607579 5.287139 7.437273
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.157001 0.581303 1.295001 2.381650 3.855344 5.681098 8.024644
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.130399 0.550562 1.287538 2.432052 4.002467 5.962750 8.492485
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.099461 0.502743 1.249357 2.437261 4.090081 6.171531 8.874381
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064815 0.432125 1.165765 2.370744 4.077263 6.250122 9.093327
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038825 0.368667 1.086312 2.304588 4.060747 6.321022 9.300518
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022762 0.322342 1.030646 2.269112 4.081857 6.436319 9.559162
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015431 0.302461 1.021864 2.304360 4.199953 6.676169 9.973140
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008800 0.276820 0.998842 2.315425 4.283130 6.870162 10.329470
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.003113 0.240370 0.949126 2.280885 4.299979 6.976395 10.574584
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002738 0.248582 0.993962 2.400284 4.536522 7.371296 11.185094
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002408 0.256857 1.039050 2.520404 4.774577 7.768825 11.799792
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002319 0.268272 1.091224 2.652552 5.030390 8.190382 12.445780